EVERTH THENANSHED comandante interestelar de la Federación Galáctica de planetas libres.
martes, 26 de abril de 2016
Statford Report 2015-2025
Stratfor paints a doomsday scenario for the geopolitics of the next decadeUS private company specializing in intelligence and espionage Stratfor issued a new report for 2015-2025, which paints an almost apocalyptic scenario of geopolitics for that period.Among others, predicted the collapse of Russia, while the company founder himself points out that Moscow willsurpass any difficulty and challenge, as the country can "handle things that wouldbreak other nations".The report Stratfor company that usually he called 'the CIA in the shadow', says the EU will decline, China will end in a "communist dictatorship" and that Russia will disintegrate, but has not happened yet despite similar predictions in the past."it Russia unlikely to survive in its current form ,"begins the chapter dedicated to Russia forecasting.Research Stratfor argues that "failure to convert income energy self -sustaining economy" Moscow wouldeventually lead to "repeat the experience of the Soviet Union in the 1980s and Russia in the 1990s ," which He would be accompanied by a demographic decline, which "really hit" Russia, theysuggest.However, the founder and CEO of the company, George Friedman, said recently that Russia is able to get rid of US -led sanctionsand overcome the fall of the ruble."The strength of the Russians is that they can handle things that wouldbreak other nations ," Friedman said.He also stressed that Russia "has a military and political power that could affect Europe.""The EU has already fragmented"researchers Stratfor believe that "relations within Europe will become increasingly unpredictable and unstable" due to the increasingly growing political trend "away from multinational solutions and greater nationalism.""in Europe there isno common policy, since what benefits some countries can harm others.Euroscepticism will worsen ,"reports Stratfor.In a sense, the EU can continue tofunction, but itis likely that economic, political and military are managed by a union of two or more States and there will be a single force that will guide throughout Europe.In Germany an economic crisis will start which willlead to social and political crisis.Berlin willlose influence in Europe, predicts Stratfor.At thesame time, which Poland will get more political and economic influence.Analysts say Poland will become the dominant force in central Europe and lead the anti -Russiancoalition."USIt was immersed in an internal crisis "experts Stratfort also analyzed the possible future USThus, within 15 years USwill face a serious internal crisis, theywarn.This is the crisis of the middle class, which now perceived in American society.The analysts 'estimates are based on the idea that in theUSthere are cycles that last fifty years ,and you end upwith significant economic or social problems.This time, one of these cycles is ending."China willend in a dictatorship"China is following its own "hybrid way" of centralization of political and economic powers, ensuring the Communist Party control over the military, and consolidation of fragmented industries in the nation.According toStratfor, this willlead to theestablishment of a communist dictatorship.Middle EastPower in this part of the world continues tofocus predominantly in thehands of individual groups and not the government, and this trend willcontinue.In this case, the United States will not be able to stop this process, although most countries in the region may be victims of Washington's intervention suggests Stratfor. The only country that will be interested in stabilizing the situation in Iraq and Syria is Turkey, which intervene in the affairs of its southern neighbors to maintain security on their borders. Because Turkey can not do it by their own forces, support for Washington asked Ankara, according to experts of the company.Source: Stratfor
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